Spreads ranked by how far the current price deviates from historical norms at the same days-to-expiry.
Data: predictions/spread_outliers.parquet, predictions/butterfly_outliers.parquet, predictions/intermarket_outliers.parquet, gold/marketview_daily.parquet
Percentile near 0% = historically cheap, near 100% = historically expensive.
Top outliers shown below. Current year is bold black.
Butterfly = Leg1 − 2×Leg2 + Leg3 (consecutive months). Percentile near 0% = historically cheap, near 100% = historically expensive.
Top outliers shown below. Current year is bold black.
Inter-market spreads (same month, different commodities) in $/metric ton. Only front 2 months shown. Percentile near 0% = historically cheap, near 100% = historically expensive.
Top outliers shown below. Current year is bold black.