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Quarterly Min Share — Wheat to Mexico (Test)

Data: gold/all_world_wheat_known_flows.parquet

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Average quarterly share (%) each regional origin represents of its own wheat class total to Mexico over the last 7 complete crop years (≥2018). Quarters start in June.

Estimated Minimum Share of Mexico Imports

Regional avg % of class × class minimum % of Mexico imports. Estimates each origin's minimum share of total Mexico wheat imports.

Combined Class Share

All regional origins for each wheat class combined (e.g. all HRW origins summed together).

Quarters: Q1 = Jun/Jul/Aug, Q2 = Sep/Oct/Nov, Q3 = Dec/Jan/Feb, Q4 = Mar/Apr/May

Share = exporter volume / total Mexico imports for that quarter+crop_year. Min is the lowest observed share across all complete crop years.

Log-Normal Distribution — usa_hrw_s_plains_interior → Mexico

Fitted log-normal distribution of quarterly share observations. X = share %, Y = probability density.