Data: gold/all_world_wheat_known_flows.parquet,
predictions/wheat_export_matrix.parquet,
predictions/wheat_import_demand_pace.parquet,
predictions/wheat_import_demand_annual_scatter.parquet
Current prediction year: Known flows from reporting + export matrix predictions for remaining months.
Next prediction year: 3-year moving average of the prior two actual years and the current predicted total.
Monthly breakdown allocated by 4-year seasonal weights. Manual overrides applied where analyst conviction exists.
Top 30 wheat importing regions by total volume over the last 8 crop years (Jul–Jun), plus Ecuador. Select an importer to see annual demand by exporter origin and average monthly import pattern.
Crop year starts in July. Months ordered Jul–Jun.
Top 4 single-variable predictors by R² for the selected importer. Each scatter shows the historical relationship and any forward prediction.